Parameter-free COVID Model Based on Encounter Density Data
Qi-Jun Hong. Projection made on May 29, 2020 Main
My model predicts that a second wave of COVID cases is arriving, as soon as early June.
States at risk: CA, TX, VA, MD, NC, FL, AL, MN, ...
Top 5 States by Daily New Cases May 31: CA(2143), IL(1935), NY(1523), TX(1201), VA(1067)
Top 5 States by Daily New Cases Jun 10: CA(2503), IL(1865), TX(1601), VA(1549), NY(1176)
Projection of the Next 20 Days
State Projection:
AK
AL
AR
AZ
CA
CO
CT
DC
FL
GA
HI
IA
ID
IL
IN
KS
KY
LA
MA
MD
ME
MI
MN
MO
MS
MT
NC
ND
NE
NH
NJ
NM
NV
NY
OH
OK
OR
PA
RI
SC
SD
TN
TX
US
UT
VA
VT
WA
WI
WV
WY
Daily Tests and Daily New Cases
(Data source: the COVID Tracking Project)
